“There’s a myth in mainstream media and social media that insider trading doesn’t apply in the prediction markets … That is wrong,” said CFTC enforcement director David Miller.
EUROPEAN SESSION
In the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than the final Manufacturing PMIs for the major Eurozone economies and the UK. The data isn't going to change anything at this point, so the market reaction will likely be muted.
We are currently in a risk-on sentiment triggered…
A shallower Bitcoin trench than previous cycles "indicates a maturing market with reduced volatility and stronger institutional confidence," said Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research.
Prior +0.9%
HICP +1.9% vs +1.9% y/y expected
Prior +1.1%
The headline estimate is the highest since August 2024 as French inflation picks up amid higher energy prices as a result of the US-Iran conflict. The monthly reading shows that consumer prices were up 0.9%, the steepest jump since February 2024.
The breakdown shows that…
EUROPEAN SESSION
In the European session, the main highlight will be the Eurozone inflation data. The Headline CPI Y/Y is expected at 2.6% vs 1.9% prior, while the Core CPI Y/Y is seen at 2.4% vs 2.4% prior.
Having said that, inflation is expected to increase substantially in March due to elevated energy prices,…
This will be quite the anticipated report to watch in the session ahead. Prior to the US-Iran conflict, German inflation was already the key sticking point for the ECB in preventing the central bank from pursuing further rate cuts. Price pressures in Europe's largest economy have been stubborn and showed little signs of waning upon…
Over 7 million U.S. borrowers must leave the SAVE plan and resume student loan payments under new federal rules, with higher costs likely.
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