Happy Friday.
Futures are upbeat on the comments from China about trade but I find the comments from Japan to be the story today, as the US appears to be set on leaving the majority of tariffs on permanently, including the 10% floor.
In any case, the market can turn away from tariffs for a…
Gold is back to flat today after falling earlier.
The market is now pricing in 131 bps in Fed easing in the coming year, up 6 bps from yesterday following a couple of poor economic data readings today. The view is that the Fed will cut despite rising inflation as the economy slows.
Technically, this…
Prior month +2.0%
Pending home sales 6.1 vs 1.0% estimate
Year-over-year, pending transactions -0.6%.
Index 76.5 vs 72.1 last month
Mortgage rates fell by around 20 to 30 basis points in March from the first two months of this year. The average mortgage rate was 6.65% in March, down from a 6.96% average in…
Step by step rate cuts may continue.
It will depend on what happens with inflation, which depends on what happens with the labour market.
This article was…